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BTCCryptoAccumulationShort term

Buying Bitcoin in a falling market, below cost

Strategy #105 · BTC · Daily chart · Market Wave

A strategy that buys Bitcoin only below its average cost and holds cash in reserve for future dips.

Backtested As of 28 Jul 2026 · 1 Jan 2026 – 28 Jul 2026 · $100,000 starting capital

Strategy return

−0.5%

Buy and hold BTC

−29.1%

Test length

7 months

CAGR not shown under a year

The chart

Every trade from the backtest, straight from TradingView.

Blue arrows: buys, with order sizeMagenta marks: sells1 Day bars
TradingView backtest chart of strategy #105 on BTC, 1 Day, with every buy and sell marked

Against its benchmarks

Buying Bitcoin in a falling market, below cost−0.5%
Buy and hold BTC−29.1%

Total return over the test period, backtested.

Past and backtested performance does not guarantee future results.

Results at your account size

$

Net profit

−$515

Ending value

$99,485

Cash profit

+$2,232

Asset accumulated

1.0702 BTC

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From the case study

The Bitcoin Accumulation Algorithm

Strategy #105, Buying Bitcoin in a falling market, below cost, is the scenario “Leg 1: BTC on the daily chart”. Read how it played out, chart by chart.

Read the case study →

The case study is dated; the results above are this strategy's published version.

How it trades

How it trades

On each buy signal, the strategy puts a portion of its cash into Bitcoin, but only when the price is below its average cost. On each sell signal, it trims a small part of the position, but only when the price is above average cost. Remaining cash stays on the sideline.

Algorithm
Market Wave
Chart
1 Day
Horizon
Short term
Aim
Accumulation: aims to grow how much of the asset you hold
Test period
1 Jan 2026 – 28 Jul 2026
Starting capital
$100,000
Fees and slippage
Not stated
Data source
TradingView backtest

Exact settings come with every client account, the free tier included, in Strategy Lab Pro.

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